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VC Trends: Funding Blog Networks

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Pile of MoneyAs you all have no doubt noticed lately a lot of blog networks are receiving funding from big name VCs. The most well known blog networks to receive funding recently are GigaOm, b5 Media and Sugar Publishing (PopSugar, etc.), The blog network has truly become the hot new investment for early stage VCs. Why? Well, VCs have seen that blog networks are garnering traffic at a rapid pace and have the potential to make huge sums of money from advertising. The most well known example of this right now is TechCrunch. Mike started the blog as a hobby and now takes in over $60,000 per month in advertising from it (note: Mike has not taken funding).

So, investing in blog networks does make sense if you look at how the businesses can grow and how the coveted network effects can be harnessed to drive even more traffic (using Digg, etc.). However, my interest lies in why the blog networks need the money and, if they need it, how much do they need?

There are some easy answers to whether or not blog networks need some money or to why they would want it; writers, ad sales (this can be outsourced to a certain extent), admin, office space, servers, bandwidth, office supplies, etc. Om, for example, took $1mm or so for GigaOm which will cover all of those costs and leave some room for growth. But what about a network like Sugar Publishing who took ~$5mm from tier one firm Sequoia? Do they need $5mm? To answer that question I decided to do a little research on what kind of capital it takes to start a print magazine. Perhaps there are some similarities.

Turns out that you need between $50k and $100k to start a low end magazine/newsletter but if you want to launch a glossy newsstand publication like PC Magazine you’ll need to spend at least $5mm (sources: MagazinePublisher.com, MagazineLaunch.com and Cheryl Woodward’s book “Starting and Running a Successful Newsletter or Magazine”). Interesting. Seems like we hit the exact number that Sugar Publishing took and I would consider them, and the other blog networks I mentioned, the high quality newsstand variety.

A lot of the cost to start up a big time magazine lies in the printing and infrastructure which you don’t have in the online world and with bandwidth and storage being cheap where does that money go? Staff, office space and the like are a big expense for online publishers but are still not enough to justify a large investment. While talking with some friends about this it seems the answer may be that Sugar and others are planning on using some of their money to acquire other properties, networks and talent. With a few acquisitions Sugar starts to look cheap at the $5mm investment price.

With the costs being laid out I am now drawn back to the VC side of the table. I am guessing that the pre-money on Sugar was around $10mm or so (perhaps a little more as TechCrunch speculates) which means that Sequoia ended up with about one third of Sugar. VCs are usually looking for a 10x return meaning that, in this case, they want to sell the business in the end of the day for around $100mm. This then means Sugar will need to get to about $10mm in cash flow per year ($833k per month).

If you take a look at Sugar’s current pageviews (which are growing incredibly fast – I have heard they are at 13mm per month now) they will have to grow them by 8 – 10x or so and achieve a good CPM to be able to get to that revenue level (not including feed ad inventory which will become more of a factor – disclosure: I work for FeedBurner). Not at all impossible judging by how fast they are growing and by the demand for quality women focused content online. Also, if the acquisitions do come into play this type of growth could be achieved fairly easily.

I hope that you have found this little bit of analysis interesting and I would love to hear your comments. It is going to be very interesting to see how or if the different funding amounts and approaches will affect blog networks and whether or not the VCs will get the 10x returns they are looking for. It still seems to me like a lot of money is being put to work but I also don’t want to discount guys like Sequoia who have had a lot of big wins over the years.

Photo Credit: Noah Wesley from Flickr

Written by Eric Olson

October 18th, 2006 at 10:46 am

Posted in Business, Media, VC, Web, Web 2.0

4 Responses to 'VC Trends: Funding Blog Networks'

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  1. Eric,

    I have also been looking into the business model for blogging networks, and have had several conversations with VCs about this.

    My instinct is that Michael Arrington has the right model, where he has a good cash business without outside investors. If he can get his burn rate down and make it somewhat more profitable, it may be eventually be a better outcome than taking a lot of venture money. Even with small amounts of venture money, the cap structure becomes quite problematic otherwise.

    With one exception: technology. If the network introduces some scalable technology-leveraged offerings, and monetize the traffic in ways beyond advertising, it may be interesting.

    Rafat Ali at paidcontent.org is trying to sell research reports at $100 per pop, trying to emulate the New York Times TimeSelect model. I don’t know how much he’s selling, but these are interesting experiments to watch.

    PopSugar, it seems, has two different sets of opportunities, and I’ve read / heard both as their intended direction : (a) targeting women, and broadening their women-focused offering to create a next-gen iVillage. (b) going after different segments like gadget geeks, etc. They could, presumably, do both, and as you suggest above, there probably are acquisitions in the order.

    So, if PopSugar becomes the consolidator for the category, and wraps up a number of different blog networks under its umbrella, then with Mike Moritz’s backing, this could have a reasonable exit.

    At any rate, whoever does the consolidation, I do agree, that a roll-up is the best way to scale for this category.

    The ones who will be stuck in between – neither consolidator, nor consolidated, but with venture money (= needs an exit to get VCs off their back) – will experience that horrendous twilight zone of venture capital, if you know what I mean.

    Sramana

    Sramana Mitra

    21 Oct 06 at 1:37 pm

  2. [...] This week I spoke to Eric Olsen of Feedburner, a company we’ll be working with over the next little while on our own BloggerMojo.com blog network.  I checked out his blog, and came across a post on the recent added interest from VCs over blogs.  Of course, blogs are not anything new.  Mark Cuban financed Jason Calacanis‘ blog network Weblogs Inc. a few years ago and the company had a successful exit in the sale to Time Warner’s AOL unit for a reported $25 million. [...]

  3. Great post. Blog networks get less coveage than the likes of Youtube. If the blog netwroks keep their operating costs low, then they are attractive bets for VCs.

    Pramit Singh

    28 Nov 06 at 3:24 am

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